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LIST OF QUESTIONS
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What
are 'shadow bands'?
These
are among the most ephemeral phenomena that observers see during
the few minutes before a total solar eclipse. They appear as
a multitude of faint bands that can be seen by placing a white
sheet of paper several feet square on the ground.They look like
ripples of sunshine at the bottom of a pool, and their visibility
varies from eclipse to eclipse. 19th century observers interpreted
them as interference fringes caused by some kind of diffraction
phenomenon. The Sun, however, is hardly a 'point source' and
the patterns are more random than you might expect from diffraction
effects.
The simplist
explanation is that they arise from atmospheric turbulence.
When light rays pass through eddies in the atmosphere, they
get refracted. Unresolved distant sources simply 'twinkle',
but for nearby large objects, the incoming light can get split
into interfering bundles that recombine on the ground to give
mottled patterns of light and dark bands, or portions of bands.
Near totality, the image of the sun is only a thin crescent
a few arc seconds wide, which is about the same size as the
atmospheric eddies as seen from the ground. Bands are produced
because the sun's image is longer in one direction than another.
The bands move, not at the rate you would expect for the eclipse
but at a speed determined by the motion of the atmospheric eddies.
How
long will we continue to be able to see total eclipses of the
Sun?
The Earth-Moon
system is unique in the solar system, because only for this
system at the present time, does the angular size of the Moon
match the angular size of the sun as seen from the surface of
the Earth. This means that sometime during its orbit, the Moon
can exactly cover the Sun, causing an observer to be thrown
into an eery night time in the middle of the day!
But, the
orbit of the Moon is not stable. Because of tidal friction,
the orbit of the Moon is steadily growing larger, so that the
angular size of the Moon from the Earth is growing smaller.
When we get to the point where the Moon only covers 98 percent
of the Sun's disk, enough of the Sun will still be visible at
totality, that you will not experience night time during a total
eclipse.
The Sun
has a diameter of 870,000 miles. At the present time, the Sun's
angular diameter varies from 32.7 minutes of arc when the Earth
is at its farthest point in its orbit (aphelion), and 31.6 arc
minutes when it is at its closest (perihelion). The Moon on
the other hand has a diameter of 3,476 kilometers, and varies
in distance between 356,000 (perigee) and 406,000 kilometers
(apogee). This means its angular size changes from 33.5 to 29.43
arc minutes. So, there is plenty of opportunity for the angular
sizes of the Moon and Sun to be equal for a total eclipse.
But, the
Moon's orbit is increasing by about a centimeter per year, so
that when the Moon drifts about 20,200 kilometers further out
from the Earth, the Moon will be so far away even at perigee,
that its disk will be smaller than the Sun's disk even at perihelion.
At a generous speed of 2 centimeters per year, it will take
about 1 billion years for the last total eclipse to occur. A
complicating factor is that the size of the Sun itself will
grow slightly during this time, which will act to make the time
of 'no more total eclipses' a bit earlier than 1 billion years
hence.
What
happens more often, solar or lunar eclipses?
According
to Fred Whipple's book 'Earth, Moon and Planets', page 102-104,
Solar eclipses are fairly numerous, about 2 - 5 per year, but
the area on the ground covered by totality is only a few miles
wide. In any given location on Earth, a total eclipse happens
only once every 360 years. Eclipses of the Moon by the Earth's
shadow are actually less numerous than solar eclipses; however,
each eclipse covers about 1/2 the surface of the Earth. At any
given location, you can have up to 3 lunar eclipses per year,
but some years there may be none. In any one calendar year,
the maximum number of eclipses is 4 solar and 3 lunar.
Typically,
how big a temperature drop do you get during a total solar eclipse?
My guess
would be that it would be equal to the typical daytime minus
nighttime temperature difference at that time of the year and
location on the Earth. It would be modified a bit by the fact
that it only lasts a few minutes, which means the environment
would not have had much time to thermally respond to its lowest
temperature, so it would probably only be 3/4 or 1/2 the maximum
day-night temperature difference. Because the patch of the shadow
travels faster than the speed of sound, weather systems will
only be affected very locally directly under the instantaneous
foot print of the eclipse. The main effect is in the 'radiant
heating' component which goes away suddenly at the moment of
eclipse and produces a very fast temperature decrease. If the
wind is blowing, your body probably exaggerates by evaporative
cooling, just how large the actual temperature swing actually
is.
When
can I see the next solar eclipse from North America?
Have a
look at the
Eclipse Paths page and find the eclipse nearest your location.
My impression is that there will not be any total SOLAR eclipses
visible from North America for a good many years. On August
21, 2017 there will be one whose track goes from Washingtion
state, and exits on the east coast near the Carolinas. There
will, however, be lots of LUNAR eclipses to entertain us!
How
well are the ground tracks for solar eclipses known in advance
of the event?
I am not
an expert in this area, but the positions of the Sun and Moon
are known to better than 1 arc second accuracy. This means that
on the Earth, the location of the track of totality is probably
known to about (1.0/206265.0) x 2 x pi x 6400 km = 0.19 kilometers
or a few hundred meters at the Earth's equator.
Is
there a book that shows the solar eclipse tracks going back a
few hundred years?
I have
found three books that may be helpful if you can find them at
your library. The research library at the Goddard Space Flight
Center shows the following books:
"Atlas
of historical eclipse maps for east asia 1500BC to 1900 AD"
by F.R. Stephenson and M.A. Houlden, (Cambridge University Press)
1986. This is a book of maps of China showing the eclipse
tracks, but includes no other geographic locations.
"Canon
of Eclipses" by Theodor Oppolzer, translated by Owen Gingerich
in 1962. (Dover Books, New York). This book is one long
table showing where all of the solar eclipses are from 1207
BC to 2161 AD. You have to look up the month and year, and it
gives the information you can use to plot the track of totality.
"Canon
of Solar Eclipses" by Jean Meeus and Hermann Mucke, (Astronomiches
Buro, 1983) Vienna Austria, second edition. I haven't had
a chance to look at this book yet.
Other
places to look are back issues of Sky and Telescope.
There have been articles on solar eclipses showing their ground
tracks, but I don't recall if they go back too far in time.
If I come across any other references, I will post them in a
revised version of this response in the future.
Oh yes,
there is a website that shows plots of eclipses. See my answer
to a previous
question for its location.
Do
lunar and solar eclipses have any noticeable effect on humans?
There
is no evidence that eclipses have any physical effect on humans.
However, eclipses have always been capable of producing profound
psychological effects. For millenia, solar eclipses have been
interpreted as portents of doom by virtually every known civilization.
These have stimulated responses that run the gamut from human
sacrifices to feelings of awe and bewilderment. Although there
are no direct physical effects involving known forces, the consequences
of the induced human psychological states have led to physical
effects.
Why
don't eclipses occur every new moon?
Eclipses
only occur if the satellite of a planet is located within 0.5
degrees of the plane of the Ecliptic, on a line which passes
through the center of the Sun and the Earth. The Moon travels
along an orbit which is inclined by 5 degrees to the Ecliptic
plane, so there are only two opportunities each month when it
passes through the plane of the Ecliptic...called the ascending
and decending nodes. These two points connected to the barycenter
of the Earth- Moon system ( roughly the center of the Earth
) define a 'line of nodes', and eclipses of the Sun and Moon
will occur if this line of nodes coincides with the line drawn
between the center of the Earth and Sun. Again, the Moon also
has to be within 0.5 degrees of one or the other of the nodes
so that the disk of the Sun is partially or totally covered
in a solar eclipse. A similar argument explains why lunar eclipses
do not happen every full moon at the node opposite the Sun from
the Earth.
How
do computers predict eclipses?
Astronomers
first have to work out the orbital mechanics of how the Earth
and Moon orbit the Sun under the influences of the gravitational
fields of these three bodies. From Newton's laws of motion,
they mathematically work out the motions of these bodies in
three dimensional space, taking into account the fact that these
bodies have finite size and are not perfect spheres, and that
the Earth and Moon are not homogeneous bodies. From careful
observation, they then feed into these complex equations the
current positions and speeds of the Earth and Moon, and then
program the computer to 'integrate' these equations forward
or backward in time to construct ephemerides of the relative
positions of the Moon and Sun as seen from the vantage point
of the Earth. Eclipses are specific configurations of these
bodies which can be identified in the computer runs and captured.
Current eclipse forecasts are accurate to less than a minute
in time over a time span of hundreds of years.
When
was the last time a lunar or solar eclipse happened on the equinoxes?
I couldn't
find any exact matches, but did find several close calls:
September
20 1960 partial solar
September 23 1987 total solar
September 22 2006 total solar
September 23 2033 partial solar
September 19 2043 lunar eclipse
March 23 1951 lunar eclipse
March 19 2007 partial solar
March 20 2015 total solar
March 25 2024 partial lunar
March 20 2034 total solar
When
was the last solar eclipse seen from North America, and when will
the next one happen?
May 10,
1994 was annular and seen in the United States. The next eclipse
that can be seen in the United States will be on May 20, 2012,
and will also be annular. Similar eclipses occur 18 years apart
in the Saros Cycle.
Do
lunar eclipses only happen at the descending node of the lunar
orbit?
I have
not thought about this very much, but there are in principle
two locations where eclipses can occur. These are the points
in the lunar orbit that intersect the ecliptic plane where the
sun moves in the sky. These are called the Ascending Node and
the Descending Node. The Ascending Node is the one located opposite
of the Earth from the Sun and it is here that lunar eclipses
occur. The Descending Node is between the Sun and the Earth
and it is here that solar eclipses can occur. Because the orbital
plane of the Moon, and so the so-called line of nodes, rotates
once every 18 years, the above nodes, can switch places. So,
the more complete answer is that lunar eclipses can also happen
at the Ascending Node.
Why
do eclipse tracks move eastwards even though the Earth rotates
from west to east?
Because
the Moon moves to the east in its orbit at 3,400 km/hour. Earth
rotates to the east at 1,670 km/hr at the equator, so the lunar
shadow moves to the east at 1,730 km/hr near the equator. You
cannot keep up with the shadow of the eclipse unless you traveled
at Mach 1.5!
When
were solar eclipses first predicted accurately?
The Babylonians
knew how to predict lunar eclipses with high accuracy, but solar
eclipses are far more difficult because the 'footprint' on the
earth is only a few tens of miles across and requires arc minute
positional accuracy and forecasting for any specific locale.
Apparently Thales ca 610 BC is credited with predicting a solar
eclipse using knowledge of a previous eclipse 47 years before
and adding the Saros cycle. He predicted the year, but not the
month and the day. It wasn't until Ptolemy's time that solar
eclipse forecasting became more precise and useful.
Why
don't solar eclipses occur exactly at Noon?
Because
the geometry required for a total solar eclipse has nothing
to do with local Noon. It has to do with when the lunar shadow
sweeps across your location during the time when the Sun is
above the horizon. Even so, it is possible for the Sun to be
in full eclipse before it rises at your particular location!
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